Integrating GIS and AI for Solar Farm Site Selection: A Case Study of Nineveh Governorate– Iraq

Section: Articles

Abstract

   Solar energy is growing rapidly due to its abundance, availability, cleanliness, cost-effectiveness, and ease of installation. The site selection process plays a crucial role in maximizing the efficiency of solar projects while minimizing the environmental impact. This study focuses on Nineveh Governorate – Iraq, (which faces a power deficiency of 36%)— by introducing an advanced solar project site selection methodology, using the Geographic Information System (GIS) and Artificial Intelligence (AI). For this aim, seven machine learning (ML) algorithms namely, Logistic Regression, Averaged Perceptron, Boosted Decision Tree, Decision Forest, Support Vector Machine, Neural Network, and K-Means- were applied on Microsoft Azure ML to identify a suitable site for solar farms, Fourteen factors were identified that influenced the solar farm site included solar radiation, sandstorms, land surface temperature, Main Road, population, power lines, substation, land ownership, land cover, water resources, slop, and aspect. This factor was then categorized into four groups: environmental, climatic, topological, and socio-economic. Then the dataset was analyzed in Azure Machine Learning, using unsupervised and supervised ML. As a result, the Boosted Decision Tree model achieved the highest accuracy at 94.2%. The output results indicate that 27% of the study area is highly suitable for solar farm development. This research underlines the immense potential of the Nineveh Governorate for renewable energy projects. It creates a replicable framework linking GIS and ML to planning energy needs with minimal environmental impacts.

References

  1. Abashidze, Nino & Taylor, Laura O 2023 ‘Utility-Scale Solar Farms and Agricultural Land Values’ Land Economics 99/3:327–342
  2. Abdo, T & EL-Shimy, M 2013 ‘Estimating the global solar radiation for solar energy projects – Egypt case study’ International Journal of Sustainable Energy 32/6:682–712
  3. Abed, Ahmed Najm 2024 ‘Framing Iraqi Refugees in The Guardian and Deutsche Welle: A Critical Discourse and Multimodal Analysis Study’
  4. Alanzi, Sultan Sh; Aldalali, Bader & Kamel, Rashad M 2024 ‘Effects of sandstorms on hybrid renewable energy sources and load demand in arid desert climates: A case study’ Energy for Sustainable Development 81:101473
  5. Aldrin Wiguna, Kadek; Sarno, Riyanarto & Ariyani, Nurul Fajrin 2017 ‘Optimization Solar Farm site selection using Multi-Criteria Decision Making Fuzzy AHP and PROMETHEE: Case study in Bali’ Proceedings of 2016 International Conference on Information and Communication Technology and Systems, ICTS 2016:237–243
  6. Al-Ozeer, Ali ZA et al. 2021 ‘Modeling of Groundwater Potential Using Cloud Computing Platform: A Case Study from Nineveh Plain, Northern Iraq’ Earth and Environmental Sciences Faculty Publications 13/23:3330
  7. Al-Saidi, Mohammad & Lahham, Nisreen 2019 ‘Solar energy farming as a development innovation for vulnerable water basins’ Development in Practice 29/5:619–634
  8. Badi, Ibrahim et al. 2021 ‘Optimal site selection for siting a solar park using a novel GIS- SWA’TEL model: A case study in Libya’ International Journal of Green Energy 18/4:336–350
  9. Bandira, Puteri Nur Atiqah et al. 2022 ‘Optimal Solar Farm Site Selection in the George Town Conurbation Using GIS-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) and NASA POWER Data’ Atmosphere 2022, Vol. 13, Page 2105 13/12:2105
  10. Bayounis, Abdulrahim et al. 2022 ‘Applying Geographic Information System (GIS) for Solar Power Plants Site Selection Support in Makkah’ Technology and Investment 13/2:37–58
  11. Berrar, Daniel 2024 ‘Performance Measures for Binary Classification 1’
  12. Chang, Yupeng et al. 2024 ‘A Survey on Evaluation of Large Language Models’ ACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology 15/3:39
  13. Chen, Jiajing et al. 2024 ‘Adaptive Optimization for Enhanced Efficiency in Large-Scale Language Model Training’
  14. Chitralekha, G & Roogi, Jyoti M 2021 ‘A Quick Review of ML Algorithms’ Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Communication and Electronics Systems, ICCES 2021
  15. Elboshy, Bahaa et al. 2022 ‘A suitability mapping for the PV solar farms in Egypt based on GIS-AHP to optimize multi-criteria feasibility’ Ain Shams Engineering Journal 13/3:101618
  16. Fan, Jandri et al. 2021 ‘Thermal Energy Analysis of Desalination Double Slope Passive Solar Still’ Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Science, Technology, and Modern Society (ICSTMS 2020) 576:435–438
  17. Farahani, Masteri et al. 2024 ‘Optimal Site Selection of Solar Power Plant Stations Using GIS-ANP and Genetic Optimization Algorithm in Markazi Province, Iran’ Journal of Green Energy Research and Innovation 1/4:47–63
  18. Georgiou, Andreas & Skarlatos, Dimitrios 2016 ‘Optimal site selection for sitting a solar park using multi-criteria decision analysis and geographical information systems’ Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems 5/2:321–332
  19. Ghosh, Nabanita & Halder, Gopinath 2022 ‘Current progress and perspective of heterogeneous nanocatalytic transesterification towards biodiesel production from edible and inedible feedstock: A review’ Energy Conversion and Management 270:116292
  20. Goshem, Gashaw Kibret & Hailu, Binyam Tesfaw 2022 ‘Solar Farm Site Selection Using Spatial Multi Criteria Evaluation Method: A Case Study of Kewet Wereda, North-Center Ethiopia.’
  21. Hassan, Qusay et al. 2024 ‘GIS-based multi-criteria analysis for solar, wind, and biomass energy potential: A case study of Iraq with implications for climate goals’ Results in Engineering 22:102212
  22. Hernandez, Rebecca R et al. 2015 ‘Solar energy development impacts on land cover change and protected areas’ Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112/44:13579–13584
  23. Hua, Ming & Pei, Jian 2007 ‘Cleaning disguised missing data: A heuristic approach’ Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining:950–958
  24. Hussain, Mohammed T & Mahdi, Emad J 2018 ‘Assessment of Solar Photovoltaic Potential in Iraq’ Journal of Physics: Conference Series 1032/1:012007
  25. Ibrahim, Gaylan Rasul Faqe et al. 2019 ‘Suitable site selection for rainwater harvesting and storage case study using Dohuk governorate’ Water (Switzerland) 11/4
  26. Joseph, V Roshan & Vakayil, Akhil 2022 ‘SPlit: An Optimal Method for Data Splitting’ Technometrics 64/2:166–176
  27. Kamali Saraji, Mahyar; Streimikiene, Dalia & Suresh, Vishnu 2024 ‘A novel two-stage multicriteria decision-making approach for selecting solar farm sites: A case study’ Journal of Cleaner Production 444:141198
  28. Kareem Jebur, Ahmed 2021 ‘Uses and Applications of Geographic Information Systems’ Saudi Journal of Civil Engineering 5/2:18–25
  29. Kereush, D & Geomatics, I Perovych. 2017 ‘Determining criteria for optimal site selection for solar power plants’ Geomatics, Landmanagement and Landscape 2017/4:39–54
  30. Keshavarz, Seyyed Ali et al. 2012 ‘Optimal Slope-Angles to Determine Maximum Solar Energy Gain for Solar Collectors Used in Iran’ International Journal Of Renewable Energy Research 2/4:665–673
  31. Khazael, Sajaa M & Al-Bakri, Maythm 2021 ‘The Optimum Site Selection for Solar Energy Farms using AHP in GIS Environment, A Case Study of Iraq’ Iraqi Journal of Science 62/11:4571–4587
  32. Kırcalı, Şura & Selim, Serdar 2021 ‘Site suitability analysis for solar farms using the geographic information system and multi-criteria decision analysis: the case of Antalya, Turkey’ Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy 23/4:1233–1250
  33. Koc, Ahmet; Turk, Seda & Şahin, Gökhan 2019 ‘Multi-criteria of wind-solar site selection problem using a GIS-AHP-based approach with an application in Igdir Province/Turkey’ Environmental Science and Pollution Research 26/31:32298–32310
  34. Li, Boyi et al. 2021 ‘On Feature Normalization and Data Augmentation’ :12383–12392
  35. Li, Xiao Ya et al. 2024 ‘The promising future of developing large-scale PV solar farms in China: A three-stage framework for site selection’ Renewable Energy 220:119638
  36. Li, Youguo & Wu, Haiyan 2012 ‘A Clustering Method Based on K-Means Algorithm’ Physics Procedia 25:1104–1109
  37. Li, Zhanzhao et al. 2022 ‘Machine learning in concrete science: applications, challenges, and best practices’ npj Computational Materials 2022 8:1 8/1:1–17
  38. Maxwell, Aaron E; Warner, Timothy A & Guillén, Luis Andrés 2021 ‘Accuracy Assessment in Convolutional Neural Network-Based Deep Learning Remote Sensing Studies—Part 1: Literature Review’ Remote Sensing 2021, Vol. 13, Page 2450 13/13:2450
  39. Mierzwiak, Michal & Calka, Beata 2017 ‘Multi-Criteria Analysis for Solar Farm Location Suitability’ Reports on Geodesy and Geoinformatics 104/1:20–32
  40. Mizumoto, Atsushi & Eguchi, Masaki 2023 ‘Exploring the potential of using an AI language model for automated essay scoring’ Research Methods in Applied Linguistics 2/2:100050
  41. Naidu, Gireen; Zuva, Tranos & Sibanda, Elias Mmbongeni 2023 ‘A Review of Evaluation Metrics in Machine Learning Algorithms’ Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems 724 LNNS:15–25
  42. Nebey, Abraham Hizkiel; Taye, Biniyam Zemene & Workineh, Tewodros Gera 2020 ‘Site Suitability Analysis of Solar PV Power Generation in South Gondar, Amhara Region’ Journal of Energy 2020/1:3519257
  43. Niu, Chuang; Shan, Hongming & Wang, Ge 2022 ‘SPICE: Semantic Pseudo-Labeling for Image Clustering’ IEEE Transactions on Image Processing 31:7264–7278
  44. Rahman, Abidur; Farrok, Omar & Haque, Md Mejbaul 2022 ‘Environmental impact of renewable energy source based electrical power plants: Solar, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, geothermal, tidal, ocean, and osmotic’ Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 161:112279
  45. Rane, Nitin Liladhar et al. 2024 ‘GIS-based multi-influencing factor (MIF) application for optimal site selection of solar photovoltaic power plant in Nashik, India’ Environmental Sciences Europe 36/1:1–25
  46. Renewable Energy Agency, International 2024 ‘World Energy Transitions Outlook 2024: 1.5°C pathway’
  47. Rusol, IA & Al-Timimi, YK 2024 ‘DETERMINATION OPTIMUM SITES FOR SOLAR ENERGY HARVESTING IN IRAQ USING MULTI-CRITERIA’ IRAQI JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES 55/Special:25–33
  48. Sachit, Mourtadha Sarhan et al. 2022 ‘Global Spatial Suitability Mapping of Wind and Solar Systems Using an Explainable AI-Based Approach’ ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information 11/8:422
  49. Sadeghi, M & Karimi, M 2017 ‘GIS-BASED SOLAR AND WIND TURBINE SITE SELECTION USING MULTI-CRITERIA ANALYSIS: CASE STUDY TEHRAN, IRAN’ The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences XLII-4-W4/4W4:469–476
  50. Salama, Shery William 2024 ‘Towards advanced sustainable criteria for choosing the best site for collecting solar energy in cities using multi-criteria GIS’ City, Territory and Architecture 11/1:1–14
  51. Scovell, Mitchell et al. 2024 ‘Local acceptance of solar farms: The impact of energy narratives’ Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 189:114029
  52. Shrestha, Anil et al. 2022 ‘Evolution of energy mix in emerging countries: Modern renewable energy, traditional renewable energy, and non-renewable energy’ Renewable Energy 199:419–432
  53. Spyridonidou, Sofia & Vagiona, Dimitra G 2023 ‘A systematic review of site-selection procedures of PV and CSP technologies’ Energy Reports 9:2947–2979
  54. Sun, Yanwei et al. 2024 ‘Modelling potential land suitability of large-scale wind energy development using explainable machine learning techniques: Applications for China, USA and EU’ Energy Conversion and Management 302:118131
  55. Suprova, Nabila Tabassum; Zidan, Abidur Rahman & Rashid, A 2021 ‘Optimal Site Selection for Solar Farms Using GIS and AHP: A Literature Review’
  56. Uyan, Mevlut & Dogmus, Ozgul Lutfiye 2023 ‘An Integrated GIS-Based ANP Analysis for Selecting Solar Farm Installation Locations: Case Study in Cumra Region, Turkey’ Environmental Modeling and Assessment 28/1:105–119
  57. Xu, Zhengjie et al. 2024 ‘A global assessment of the effects of solar farms on albedo, vegetation, and land surface temperature using remote sensing’ Solar Energy 268:112198

Identifiers

Download this PDF file

Statistics

Copyright and Licensing